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Much has changed since President-elect Donald Trump first entered the White House in 2017. According to 538's average of polls of Trump's favorability rating, 47.2 percent of American adults have ...
FiveThirtyEight is the 2008 Weblog Award Winner for "Best Political Coverage". [98] FiveThirtyEight earned a 2009 "Bloggie" as the "Best Weblog about Politics" in the 9th Annual Weblog Awards. [99] In April 2009, Silver was named "Blogger of the Year" in the 6th Annual Opinion Awards of The Week, for his work on FiveThirtyEight. [100]
That undershoot of 3 points follows polls in 2020 that underestimated Trump's national margin by 4 points and in 2016 that underestimated his performance by 2 points, according to 538's averages.
Good news, polling fans: 538 now has polling averages for the new presidential matchup between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump. As of Friday at 10 a.m. Eastern, our ...
The playoffs were played during the COVID-19 pandemic in the United States, and each game's attendance was limited due to local health restrictions (See also 2020 NFL season § COVID-19 restrictions). Had a serious outbreak occurred during the regular season, the league had contingency plans to delay the postseason, eliminate the bye week ...
The following graph depicts the standing of each candidate in the poll aggregators from September 2019 to November 2020. Former Vice President Joe Biden, the Democratic nominee, had an average polling lead of 7.9 percentage points over incumbent President Donald Trump, the Republican nominee. Biden would win the national popular vote by 4.4 ...
The American Association for Public Opinion Research released a report following the 2020 election evaluating preelection polling, which overstated Biden’s support compared to Trump by an even ...
The polling average curated by ABC’s 538, ... Clinton led the polling averages by 6.0 points, and in 2020 Biden led by 7.4. ... 2025 NFL mock draft 5.0: Titans take 'generational' talent, while ...