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The incumbent president, Joe Biden, won the Democratic primaries. On July 21, 2024, Biden withdrew from the presidential campaign and endorsed his vice president, Kamala Harris, who shortly thereafter became the official nominee of the Democratic Party.
Aggregate polls of declared candidates in the 2024 Democratic Party presidential primaries Source of poll aggregation Dates administered Dates updated Joe Biden Dean Phillips Marianne Williamson Other/undecided [a] Margin 270 to Win [1] January 25 – February 14, 2024 February 18, 2024 74.2%: 5.6% 8.0% 12.2% Biden +66.2: FiveThirtyEight [2]
An historic switch in the presidential ticket. A polling shift. And a still-undefined nominee. That’s the backdrop to this week’s Democratic convention.
After the conventions, Obama had a clear lead until he did poorly in the first debate. Romney took the lead, and the polls were tied in early and mid-October. The Democrats then regained their momentum but Obama became the first President to win re-election by a narrower margin in both the popular vote and in the Electoral College.
Democrats shouldn’t panic about new polls showing President Joe Biden trailing Donald Trump in some key battleground states, writes Dean Obeidallah, but they should be concerned.
Democrats who are in high spirits over Vice President Harris’s debate performance and buoyed by her rise in the polls have one doubt that nags at them above all others. It’s the knowledge that ...
Poll results can be affected by methodology, especially in how they predict who will vote in the next election, and re-weighting answers to compensate for slightly non-random samples. One technique, "weighting on recalled vote" is an attempt to compensate for previous underestimates of votes for Donald Trump by rebalancing the sample based on ...
Democrats also face a close race in Ohio, where incumbent Sen. Sherrod Brown is trying to hold off his Republican challenger, Bernie Moreno. Brown holds a 3.6 percent lead in the polls, but the ...