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FiveThirtyEight gained further national attention for beating out most pollsters' projections in the North Carolina and Indiana Democratic party primaries on May 6, 2008. As Mark Blumenthal wrote in National Journal, "Over the last week, an anonymous blogger who writes under the pseudonym Poblano did something bold on his blog, FiveThirtyEight ...
After departing FiveThirtyEight amid widespread layoffs at Disney/ABC News in May 2023, [2] Silver began publishing on his personal blog, Silver Bulletin, hosted on Substack. [ 3 ] [ 104 ] Silver retained the IP of 538's election forecasting model as he left, [ 105 ] and in June 2024, released his own election forecasting model at Silver ...
A note on the FiveThirtyEight website says: “As of July 21 at 2 p.m. Eastern, President Joe Biden has suspended his campaign for the 2024 Democratic Party nomination for president.
Azari has been a frequent contributor to the data journalism website FiveThirtyEight since 2016, [11] both as an author of articles and as a guest on the FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast. [ 12 ] [ 13 ] Azari regularly writes for Mischiefs of Faction , which was founded as an independent political science blog in 2012, and for a period after ...
The FiveThirtyEight founder took issue with one particular tactic, in which pollsters weigh their surveys based on whom people said they voted for in 2020. “[P]eople often misremember or ...
Nate Silver, founder of FiveThirtyEight and author of the Silver Bulletin newsletter. Silver republished a lengthy blog post from late October with the new title "24 reasons that Trump won."
However, he purposefully leaves out the mathematics. In 2012, after his triumph of predicting the outcome of the last two presidential elections and selling his "fivethirtyeight" blog to the New York Times, Nate Silver accomplished what is almost impossible.
See also >> Yahoo News’ live blog of continued election results. ... FiveThirtyEight and Nate Silver’s Silver Bulletin each had Harris’s odds at 50%. Split Ticket put her at 53%.