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Gallup was the first polling organization to conduct accurate opinion polling for United States presidential elections. [1] Gallup polling has often been accurate in predicting the outcome of presidential elections and the margin of victory for the winner. [2] However, it missed some close elections: 1948, 1976 and 2004, the popular vote in ...
ComRes, retained pollster for the BBC and The Independent. ICM. Ipsos MORI (formerly MORI) Populus, official The Times pollster. Qriously. Survation, pollster to The Mail on Sunday, Daily Mirror, Daily Record and Sky News. Kantar Group. YouGov. George Gallup, pioneer of survey sampling techniques.
Notably, Trafalgar successfully predicted the result of the 2016 U.S. presidential election. Although they incorrectly predicted the result of the 2020 U.S. presidential election for Trump in several states, according to a FiveThirtyEight analysis, their state polling margins were some of the most accurate that cycle. [2]
March 7, 2008; 16 years ago (2008-03-07) [1] Current status. Online. 538, originally rendered as FiveThirtyEight, is an American website that focused on opinion poll analysis, politics, economics, and sports blogging in the United States. [2] Founder Nate Silver left in 2023, taking the rights to his forecasting model with him to his website ...
Rasmussen Reports was founded in 2003 by Scott Rasmussen, who served as the company's president from its founding until July 2013, when he left to found the digital media company Styrk. [3] [8] [9] [10] Rasmussen founded his first polling company in 1994. [11]
The following graph depicts the standing of each candidate in the poll aggregators from September 2019 to November 2020. Former Vice President Joe Biden, the Democratic nominee, had an average polling lead of 7.9 percentage points over incumbent President Donald Trump, the Republican nominee. Biden would win the national popular vote by 4.4 ...
poll.qu.edu. The Quinnipiac University Poll is a public opinion polling center based at Quinnipiac University in Hamden, Connecticut. It surveys public opinion in Connecticut, Florida, Georgia, Iowa, Minnesota, New York, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Texas, Virginia, and nationally. [2][3] The poll is unaffiliated with any academic department ...
September 19, 2024 at 5:51 PM. Donald Trump and Kamala Harris are locked in a close race with seven weeks left. A slew of new national and swing-state polls have come out in the past 24 hours ...