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  2. The 2024 election could come down to a single tipping ... - AOL

    www.aol.com/2024-election-could-come-down...

    Turning back to the 2024 race and the most likely state to decide it, the 538 forecast’s current median projection f or Pennsylvania is about a 1-point victory for Harris. To be clear, that ...

  3. How 538's 2024 House election forecast works - AOL

    www.aol.com/538s-2024-house-election-forecast...

    On Tuesday, 538 released its 2024 election forecast for the House of Representatives. The general idea behind our forecast is to combine polling data (say, on which party Americans want to control ...

  4. Election Day 2024 live results: Trump projected to win two ...

    www.aol.com/election-day-2024-live-results...

    According to 538's forecast, ... Spencer Cox, speaks to the fans after the final round of the Black Desert Championship 2024 at Black Desert Resort on Oct. 13, 2024 in St George, Utah. (Christian ...

  5. FiveThirtyEight - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/FiveThirtyEight

    On September 3, 2014, FiveThirtyEight introduced its forecasts for each of the 36 U.S. Senate elections being contested that year. [538 69] At that time, the Republican Party was given a 64 percent chance of holding a majority of the seats in the Senate after the election. However, Silver also remarked, "An equally important theme is the high ...

  6. Undecided races of the 2024 election: Live results and analysis

    www.aol.com/undecided-races-2024-election-live...

    So we at 538 are settling in for the long haul with this live blog dedicated to all the outstanding races of the 2024 election. ... that the district was a "toss-up," and 538's forecast had it ...

  7. 2024 United States House of Representatives election ratings

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_United_States_House...

    The 2024 United States House of Representatives elections was held on November 5, 2024, to elect representatives from all 435 congressional districts across each of the 50 U.S. states. The six non-voting delegates from the District of Columbia and the inhabited U.S. territories will also be elected.

  8. Nationwide opinion polling for the 2024 Republican Party ...

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nationwide_opinion_polling...

    This is a list of nationwide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the Republican primaries for the 2024 United States presidential election.The persons named in the polls are declared candidates or have received media speculation about their possible candidacy.

  9. The 2024 race to control the House couldn't be tighter

    www.aol.com/2024-race-control-house-couldnt...

    Given those narrow margins and the broader competitive political environment, 538's new forecast of the House understandably gives each party just about a 1-in-2 shot of controlling the chamber ...