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Trendlines are 30-poll local regressions, with polls weighted by proximity in time and a logarithmic function of sample size. 95% confidence ribbons represent uncertainty about the trendlines, not the likelihood that actual election results would fall within the intervals.
The 2025 Canadian federal election will elect members of the House of Commons to the 45th Canadian Parliament.Under the fixed-date provisions of the Canada Elections Act, the election would be held on October 20, 2025, but it may be called earlier if the governor general dissolves Parliament on the recommendation of the prime minister, either for a snap election or after the government loses a ...
This article provides a summary of results for Canadian general elections (where all seats are contested) to the House of Commons, the elected lower half of Canada's federal bicameral legislative body, the Parliament of Canada. The number of seats has increased steadily over time, from 180 for the first election to the current total of 338.
The following is a list of nominated candidates and those seeking nominations for the 2025 Canadian federal election.Nominations announced before the new representation order are assumed to apply to whatever new riding most closely corresponds to ridings under the old representation order; riding names from the old representation order are in italics.
Polling Canada, while iffy, at least has a long and verifiable public track record beyond just the Nanos weekly roll. Also as most Nanos polls have a weight of only 250 (1/4 of 1000) a change of 0.5 will not impact the trend line very much. Lilactree201 01:32, 6 October 2023 (UTC)
The election was described as being "like a game of tug of war in which the rope won." [1] The remarkable similarity of the seat results and those in 2019 may have reinforced voters' sentiments that the early election was unnecessary, and its meagre outcome has left its mark on the electorate. Both the Liberals and Conservatives saw marginal ...
Mainstreet Research conducts regular Canadian national, regional, and municipal public polling and private market and public opinion research. Their data is reported by various media organizations. [2] [3] In a comparison of polling results with election results, Mainstreet was ranked fourth in Canada by polling analyst Philippe J. Fournier. [4 ...
Evolution of voting intentions according to polls conducted during the 2019 Canadian federal election campaign, graphed from the data in the table below. Trendlines are local regressions , with polls weighted by proximity in time and a logarithmic function of sample size. 95% confidence ribbons represent uncertainty about the trendlines, not ...