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On January 8, 2024, after the Democratic national party dismissed the state of New Hampshire's upcoming primary as “meaningless” the New Hampshire Assistant Attorney General Brendan O’Donnell fired off a cease-and-desist order to the DNC, saying that instructing state Democrats to “educate the public” that the primary is ...
The DNC-approved 2024 calendar placed the South Carolina primary first, but New Hampshire state law mandates them to hold the first primary in the country, and a "bipartisan group of state politicians", including the chairs of the Democratic and the Republican parties, announced that the state would preserve this status.
Poll results can be affected by methodology, especially in how they predict who will vote in the next election, and re-weighting answers to compensate for slightly non-random samples. One technique, "weighting on recalled vote" is an attempt to compensate for previous underestimates of votes for Donald Trump by rebalancing the sample based on ...
An historic switch in the presidential ticket. A polling shift. And a still-undefined nominee. That’s the backdrop to this week’s Democratic convention.
Aggregate polls of declared candidates in the 2024 Democratic Party presidential primaries Source of poll aggregation Dates administered Dates updated Joe Biden Dean Phillips Marianne Williamson Other/undecided [a] Margin 270 to Win [1] January 25 – February 14, 2024 February 18, 2024 74.2%: 5.6% 8.0% 12.2% Biden +66.2: FiveThirtyEight [2]
Data from FiveThirtyEight showed Clinton up roughly 4 points in the polls in these key Rust Belt states leading into the election. In reality, Clinton lost all three states by fewer than 78,000 votes.
While they have yet to release a national survey on Harris vs. Trump, polls in the swing states of Pennsylvania and Virginia from July 9 to July 12 found that Trump led Harris by 2 percentage ...
The following head-to-head polls feature some of the individuals who officially declared their candidacies. The incumbent president, Joe Biden , won the Democratic primaries. On July 21, 2024, Biden withdrew from the presidential campaign and endorsed his vice president, Kamala Harris , who shortly thereafter became the official nominee of the ...