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The concept of convergence in probability is used very often in statistics. For example, an estimator is called consistent if it converges in probability to the quantity being estimated. Convergence in probability is also the type of convergence established by the weak law of large numbers.
In probability theory, Kolmogorov's Three-Series Theorem, named after Andrey Kolmogorov, gives a criterion for the almost sure convergence of an infinite series of random variables in terms of the convergence of three different series involving properties of their probability distributions.
where the last step follows by the pigeonhole principle and the sub-additivity of the probability measure. Each of the probabilities on the right-hand side converge to zero as n → ∞ by definition of the convergence of {X n} and {Y n} in probability to X and Y respectively.
This image illustrates the convergence of relative frequencies to their theoretical probabilities. The probability of picking a red ball from a sack is 0.4 and black ball is 0.6. The left plot shows the relative frequency of picking a black ball, and the right plot shows the relative frequency of picking a red ball, both over 10,000 trials.
Convergence of Probability Measures is a graduate textbook in the field of mathematical probability theory. It was written by Patrick Billingsley and published by Wiley in 1968. A second edition in 1999 both simplified its treatment of previous topics and updated the book for more recent developments. [1]
This theorem follows from the fact that if X n converges in distribution to X and Y n converges in probability to a constant c, then the joint vector (X n, Y n) converges in distribution to (X, c) . Next we apply the continuous mapping theorem , recognizing the functions g ( x , y ) = x + y , g ( x , y ) = xy , and g ( x , y ) = x y −1 are ...
On the right-hand side, the first term converges to zero as n → ∞ for any fixed δ, by the definition of convergence in probability of the sequence {X n}. The second term converges to zero as δ → 0, since the set B δ shrinks to an empty set. And the last term is identically equal to zero by assumption of the theorem.
Stein's method is a general method in probability theory to obtain bounds on the distance between two probability distributions with respect to a probability metric.It was introduced by Charles Stein, who first published it in 1972, [1] to obtain a bound between the distribution of a sum of -dependent sequence of random variables and a standard normal distribution in the Kolmogorov (uniform ...