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Although polls and poll averages vary and are constantly changing, they allow a glimpse into the current state of the presidential race. ... Real Clear Polling average: Harris +1.5.
The following head-to-head polls feature some of the individuals who officially declared their candidacies. The incumbent president, Joe Biden , won the Democratic primaries. On July 21, 2024, Biden withdrew from the presidential campaign and endorsed his vice president, Kamala Harris , who shortly thereafter became the official nominee of the ...
The persons named in the polls are declared candidates or have received media speculation about their possible candidacy. The polls included are among Republicans or Republicans and Republican-leaning independents. If multiple versions of polls are provided, the version among likely voters is prioritized, then registered voters, then adults.
The poll of 853 likely voters, conducted online between Oct. 23-26 and released exactly one week before Election Day, has both candidates at 47%, with 2% of respondents saying they will vote for a ...
The persons named in the polls are declared candidates or have received media speculation about their possible candidacy. The polls included are among Democrats or Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents. If multiple versions of polls are provided, the version among likely voters is prioritized, then registered voters, then adults.
With three weeks until Election Day, Vice President Kamala Harris leads in almost all reputable national polls, including six of the last nine national polls aggregated by RealClearPolitics.
And given the polling errors of 2016 and especially 2020, a candidate holding a 1-, 2-, or 3-point advantage in surveys doesn’t guarantee victory — far from it.
Poll results can be affected by methodology, especially in how they predict who will vote in the next election, and re-weighting answers to compensate for slightly non-random samples. One technique, "weighting on recalled vote" is an attempt to compensate for previous underestimates of votes for Donald Trump by rebalancing the sample based on ...