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2024 Presidential Election Predictions. Trust markets, not presidential polls. Live and accurate forecasts by the world's largest prediction market.
Polymarket | This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris as of October 25, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Harris" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris will be used to resolve this ...
The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities for Harris or Trump, deepening as the market likelihood of winning increases: Tilt (<60%), Leans (60%+), Likely (80%+), Safe (90%+). Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2024 presidential election forecast.
Kalshi: The New York-based prediction platform favors Trump by a 99% to 1% margin, a major shift from Saturday, when Harris briefly led on the site; unlike Polymarket, Kalshi legally operates in ...
The majority of bets went for Trump, with $1.3 billion wagered on the former president and $827 million on Harris. Polymarket did not respond to a request for comment.
The split on the crypto-based Polymarket, which is not legal in the U.S. but is arguably the most famous of the sites, narrowed to 60.3% odds for Trump compared to 39.6% for Harris, down from the...
Bettors increased former President Donald Trump's lead over Vice President Kamala Harris in the presidential betting odds as race draws closer to its final week.
If Polymarket gives Trump 65 percent odds and Kalshi gives him 55 percent odds, you can make risk-free money by buying Trump at Kalshi and Harris at Polymarket; if you only have to spend...
Traders Thursday were giving the former president a 55.8% shot versus Vice President Kamala Harris' 43.8%, according to pricing on Polymarket, where more than $1.6 billion has been wagered on the...
1:43. Since Sept. 1, more than 102,000 Polymarket users have bet on whether Donald Trump or Kamala Harris will be the next president of the United States, propelling Trump’s likelihood of...