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That's lower than the statistical bias of the polls in 2016 and 2020, which underestimated Trump by 3.2 and 4.1 points, respectively. But it's higher than the bias in the 2000, 2004, 2008 and 2012 ...
These women are getting elective surgical procedures to render themselves infertile — all because Donald Trump won the election. The women, who are speaking proudly about their decision, say it ...
Exit polls from the 2024 U.S. presidential election suggest a 10 percentage point gender gap in votes for Democrat Kamala Harris and Republican Donald Trump. While a majority of female U.S. voters ...
Trump +2.8% Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Local regression of two-way polling between Trump, Biden and Kennedy conducted up to the 2024 United States presidential election (excludes others and undecided ).
The following graph depicts the standing of each candidate in the poll aggregators from September 2019 to November 2020. Former Vice President Joe Biden, the Democratic nominee, had an average polling lead of 7.9 percentage points over incumbent President Donald Trump, the Republican nominee.
What is more likely is that Trump voters were less likely to respond to polls. That’s one example of a non-response bias — and it’s something that pollsters didn’t know about at the time ...
High Point University#HPU Poll/High Point University: September 28 – October 7, 2018 44% 49% 7% 921 telephone and online [92] United States: Pew Research Center: September 24 – October 7, 2018 38% 61% 2% 10,683 [93] Maryland: Likely voters: Gonzales Research & Media Services October 1–6, 2018 41% 55% 4% 806 telephone [94] Rhode Island ...
A USA Today/Suffolk University poll showed Trump leading by 6 points in the Grand Canyon State, and a New York Times/Siena College poll put him up by 5 points. Arizona is still competitive to be sure.