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That's lower than the statistical bias of the polls in 2016 and 2020, which underestimated Trump by 3.2 and 4.1 points, respectively. But it's higher than the bias in the 2000, 2004, 2008 and 2012 ...
Exit polls from the 2024 U.S. presidential election suggest a 10 percentage point gender gap in votes for Democrat Kamala Harris and Republican Donald Trump. While a majority of female U.S. voters ...
The Hill 21 hours ago 52 percent say Trump will try to serve third term: Poll. Fifty-two percent of Americans said that President Trump will try to serve a third term, according to a poll from YouGov.
The following graph depicts the standing of each candidate in the poll aggregators from September 2019 to November 2020. Former Vice President Joe Biden, the Democratic nominee, had an average polling lead of 7.9 percentage points over incumbent President Donald Trump, the Republican nominee.
Trump +2.8% Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Local regression of two-way polling between Trump, Biden and Kennedy conducted up to the 2024 United States presidential election (excludes others and undecided ).
The Hill/Decision Desk HQ’s aggregate of polls shows Trump with a 6.1-point lead over Harris in the state — 51.6 percent to her 45.5 percent. Nationally, the race is neck and neck .
The Hill, formed in 1994, is an American newspaper and digital media company based in Washington, D.C. [4] [2] Focusing on politics, policy, business and international relations, The Hill ' s coverage includes the U.S. Congress, the presidency and executive branch, and election campaigns. [5]
In the past few days, polls have ranged from a 4-point Harris lead to a 3-point lead for Trump. With such slim margins and changing numbers, what can we trust?