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The Survey of Professional Forecasters (SPF) is a quarterly survey of macroeconomic forecasts for the economy of the United States issued by the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. It is the oldest such survey in the United States. The survey includes an "anxious index" that estimates the probability of a decline in real GDP. [1]
A 2014 paper by Arai in the International Journal of Forecasting finds: "Using this [Patton and Timmerman (2012) forecast adjustment] method in a real-time out-of-sample forecasting exercise, I find that it provides modest improvements in the accuracies of the forecasts for the GDP deflator and CPI, but not for other variables. The improvements ...
These figures have been taken from the International Monetary Fund's World Economic Outlook (WEO) Database, October 2024 Edition. [1] The figures are given or expressed in Millions of International Dollars at current prices.
By Christopher S. Rugaber WASHINGTON (AP) -- The economy likely produced another solid month of hiring in January, a promising start for 2012. Economists forecast that employers added a net ...
By Kerri Panchuk Improved employment figures and record home affordability levels could spawn a minor housing recovery this year, analyst Mark Fleming said Wednesday in the "CoreLogic MarketPulse ...
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The Wall Street Journal Economic Survey, also known as the Wall Street Journal Economic Forecasting Survey, could refer to either the monthly or the semi-annual survey conducted by the Wall Street Journal of over 50 economists on important indicators of the economy of the United States. [1] [2]
"The economy is not in recovery," Mitt Romney said at a pre-debate rally in Denver. "We're not seeing the real recovery. The president's policies have not worked. He doesn't get that. He doesn't ...