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The Survey of Professional Forecasters (SPF) is a quarterly survey of macroeconomic forecasts for the economy of the United States issued by the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. It is the oldest such survey in the United States. The survey includes an "anxious index" that estimates the probability of a decline in real GDP. [1]
These appropriations were greatly affected by the Budget Control Act of 2011, passed in August 2011 as a resolution to the debt-ceiling crisis; it mandated budget cuts over a ten-year period beginning with Fiscal Year 2012. In addition, legislation was passed to extend a cut in the Social Security payroll tax for the entirety of calendar year 2012.
By Kerri Panchuk Improved employment figures and record home affordability levels could spawn a minor housing recovery this year, analyst Mark Fleming said Wednesday in the "CoreLogic MarketPulse ...
An economic indicator is a statistic that conveys certain information about economic activity. Economic indicators allow investors to analyze the economic performance of a state, country or region, as well as make forecasts about future performance. For example, each quarter the United States releases data on gross domestic product (GDP). This ...
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U.S. demand for oil in September fell by 5.5% month-over-month and by about 3.8% year-over-year to around 18.35 million barrels a day. For the full year, demand is expected to decline by less than 1%.
A 2014 paper by Arai in the International Journal of Forecasting finds: "Using this [Patton and Timmerman (2012) forecast adjustment] method in a real-time out-of-sample forecasting exercise, I find that it provides modest improvements in the accuracies of the forecasts for the GDP deflator and CPI, but not for other variables. The improvements ...
For calendar years 2011 and 2012, the employee's portion of the payroll tax was reduced to 4.2% as an economic stimulus measure; this expired for 2013. [23] Approximately 65% percent of tax return filers pay more in payroll taxes than income taxes.