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Statistician Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight maintains a list of pollsters who conduct surveys in U.S. political elections and assigns each pollster a rating based on its methodology and historical accuracy. [9] Silver also lists the number of polls analyzed for each pollster. [9] Cygnal [10] [11] [12] Elway Research; Emerson College Polling [13]
FiveThirtyEight is the 2008 Weblog Award Winner for "Best Political Coverage". [98] FiveThirtyEight earned a 2009 "Bloggie" as the "Best Weblog about Politics" in the 9th Annual Weblog Awards. [99] In April 2009, Silver was named "Blogger of the Year" in the 6th Annual Opinion Awards of The Week, for his work on FiveThirtyEight. [100]
J. Ann Selzer (born 1956) is an American political pollster and the president of the Des Moines, Iowa-based polling firm Selzer & Company, which she founded in 1996. [1] [2] She was described as "the best pollster in politics" by Clare Malone of FiveThirtyEight, which also gives Selzer & Company a rare A+ grade for accuracy.
The latest average of national polls, collated by FiveThirtyEight, shows Harris with a 2.6-point lead over Trump. On average, Harris has been marginally ahead of Trump in national polls for ...
A new Des Moines Register poll conducted Oct. 28-31 and released over the weekend showed Harris leading Trump 47% to 44% among likely voters in Iowa, a state that was not considered to be in play ...
That poll ended up being wrong, as Trump is currently holding onto a 13-point lead in the state, but other Iowa pollsters got it much closer, pegging Trump’s winning margin in the high single ...
Also, Rasmussen Reports began to use the FiveThirtyEight.com poll averages for its own tracking of the 2008 state-by-state races. [ 126 ] In 2009 through 2012, Silver appeared as a political analyst on MSNBC, [ 127 ] CNN [ 128 ] and Bloomberg Television , [ 129 ] [ 130 ] PBS , [ 131 ] NPR, [ 132 ] Democracy Now! , [ 133 ] The Charlie Rose Show ...
In a Washington Post, Ipsos and FiveThirtyEight poll of potential Republican voters who watched Wednesday’s GOP debate, Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis and entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy came out on top.